|
|
|
|
© 2006 by National Journal Inc., 600 New Hampshire Avenue, NW, Washington DC 20037. Any reproduction or retransmission, in whole or in part, is a violation of federal law and is strictly prohibited without the consent of National Journal. This prohibition extends to sharing this publication with clients and/or affiliate companies. All rights reserved.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
THE NOMINEES
Sweet Home Alabama
|
The following is the list of nominees in the AL, CA, IA, MS, MT, NJ, NM and SD House contests, based on 6/6 primary results. Incumbents are in CAPS; for open seat races, ^ indicates the incumbent party. Reps. Bud Cramer (D-AL 05), Spencer Bachus (R-AL 06), Artur Davis (D-AL 07), George Miller (D-CA 07), Jim Costa (D-CA 20), Xavier Becerra (D-CA 31), Hilda Solis (D-CA 32), Diane Watson (D-CA 33), Maxine Waters (D-CA 35), Juanita Millender-McDonald (D-CA 37), Chip Pickering (R-MS 03), Rob Andrews (R-NJ 01), Chris Smith (R-NJ 04) and Donald Payne (D-NJ 10) are unopposed for the general election.
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
AL 01 JO BONNER Vivian Beckerle
AL 02 TERRY EVERETT Chuck James
AL 03 MIKE ROGERS Greg Pierce
AL 04 ROBERT ADERHOLT Barbara Bobo
AL 05 Unopposed BUD CRAMER
AL 06 SPENCER BACHUS Unopposed
AL 07 Unopposed ARTUR DAVIS
California Scheming
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
CA 01 John Jones MIKE THOMPSON
CA 02 WALLY HERGER A.J. Sekhon
CA 03 DAN LUNGREN Bill Durston
CA 04 JOHN DOOLITTLE Charles Brown
CA 05 Claire Yan DORIS MATSUI
CA 06 Todd Hooper LYNN WOOLSEY
CA 07 Unopposed GEORGE MILLER
CA 08 Mike DeNunzio NANCY PELOSI
CA 09 John Dendulk BARBARA LEE
CA 10 Darcy Linn ELLEN TAUSCHER
CA 11 RICHARD POMBO Jerry McNerney
CA 12 Michael Moloney TOM LANTOS
CA 13 George Bruno PETE STARK
CA 14 Rob Smith ANNA ESHOO
CA 15 Raymond Chukwu MIKE HONDA
CA 16 Charel Winston ZOE LOFGREN
CA 17 Anthony DeMaio SAM FARR
CA 18 John Kanno DENNIS CARDOZA
CA 19 GEORGE RADANOVICH TJ Cox
CA 20 Unopposed JIM COSTA
CA 21 DEVIN NUNES Steve Haze
CA 22 Kevin McCarthy^ Sharon Beery
CA 23 Victor Tognazzini LOIS CAPPS
CA 24 ELTON GALLEGLY Jill Martinez
CA 25 BUCK MCKEON Robert Rodriguez
CA 26 DAVID DREIER Cynthia Matthews
CA 27 Peter Hankwitz BRAD SHERMAN
CA 28 Stanley Kesselman HOWARD BERMAN
CA 29 Bill Bodell ADAM SCHIFF
CA 30 David Nelson Jones HENRY WAXMAN
CA 31 Unopposed XAVIER BECERRA
CA 32 Unopposed HILDA SOLIS
CA 33 Unopposed DIANE WATSON
CA 34 Wayne Miller LUCILLE ROYBAL-ALLARD
CA 35 Unopposed MAXINE WATERS
CA 36 Brian Gibson JANE HARMAN
CA 37 Unopposed JUANITA MILLENDER-MCDONALD
CA 38 Sid Street GRACE NAPOLITANO
CA 39 James Andion LINDA SANCHEZ
CA 40 ED ROYCE Florice Hoffman
CA 41 JERRY LEWIS Louie Contreras
CA 42 GARY MILLER Mark Richter*
CA 43 Scott Folkens JOE BACA
CA 44 KEN CALVERT Louis Vandenberg
CA 45 MARY BONO David Roth
CA 46 DANA ROHRABACHER Jim Brandt
CA 47 Tan Nguyen LORETTA SANCHEZ
CA 48 JOHN CAMPBELL Steve Young
CA 49 DARRELL ISSA Jeeni Criscenzo
CA 50 Brian Bilbray^ Francine Busby
CA 51 Blake Miles BOB FILNER
CA 52 DUNCAN HUNTER John Rinaldi
CA 53 Woody Woodrum SUSAN DAVIS
* may qualify as a write-in.
Hawkeye Nominees
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
IA 01 Mike Whalen^ Bruce Braley
IA 02 JIM LEACH David Loebsack
IA 03 Jeff Lamberti LEONARD BOSWELL
IA 04 TOM LATHAM Selden Spencer
IA 05 STEVE KING Joyce Schulte
Mississippi's Finest
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
MS 01 ROGER WICKER Runoff
MS 02 Yvonne Brown BENNIE THOMPSON
MS 03 CHIP PICKERING Unopposed
MS 04 Randy McDonnell GENE TAYLOR
Big Sky Race
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
MT AL DENNIS REHBERG Monica Lindeen
Jersey's Finest
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
NJ 01 ROB ANDREWS Unopposed
NJ 02 FRANK LOBIONDO Viola Thomas-Hughes
NJ 03 JIM SAXTON Rich Sexton
NJ 04 CHRIS SMITH Unopposed
NJ 05 SCOTT GARRETT Paul Aronsohn
NJ 06 Leigh-Anne Bellew FRANK PALLONE
NJ 07 MIKE FERGUSON Linda Stender
NJ 08 Jose Sandoval BILL PASCRELL
NJ 09 Vince Micco STEVE ROTHMAN
NJ 10 Unopposed DONALD PAYNE
NJ 11 RODNEY FRELINGHUYSEN Tom Wyka
NJ 12 Joe Sinagra RUSH HOLT
NJ 13 John Guarini Albio Sires^
New Mexico Nominees
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
NM 01 HEATHER WILSON Patricia Madrid
NM 02 STEVE PEARCE Al Kissling
NM 03 Ron Dolin TOM UDALL
Hailing Herseth
GOP Nominee Dem Nominee
SD AL Bruce Whalen STEPHANIE HERSETH
|
|
|
CONSULTANTS
The Consultant Scorecard
|
As part of our on-going search of consultant information, we tracked down the consultants for key CA, IA, MT, NM and NJ primary candidates. Now you can see who won the election, but which consultants came out on top. Note the new addition of win/lose records for campaigns. For a full list of consultants tracked by The Hotline, click here.
NOTE: The NRCC declined to disclose the consulting services used for its independent expenditures (IE) in CA-50; An * denotes that college prof. Francine Busby (D) lost the CA-50 special election primary to ex-Rep. Brian Bilbray (R), but will remain on the 11/06 ballot.
Feeling left out? We'll be happy to add your clients too, we just need confirmation! Email us any updates, additions, or corrections.
DIRECT MAIL
-------DEMS------- -------GOPERS-------
Baughman Company Gilliard, Blanning, Wysocki (1/0)
DCCC (IE-CA-50) (W) Bilbray, Brian (R-CA-50)(gen)
Campaign Network (0/1) JDK Consulting (0/1)
(L) Dickinson, Rick (D-IA-01) (L) Kennedy, Brian (R-IA-01)
Kennedy Communications (1/0) Johnson Clark (gen/media/pol) (1/0)
(W) Sires, Albio (D-NJ-13) (W) Pombo, Richard (R-CA-11)
Knickerbocker Group (0/1) Olsen & Shuvalov (1/1)
(L) Vas, Joe (D-NJ-13) (L) Dix, Bill (R-IA-01)
(W) Lamberti, Jeff (R-IA-03)
Strategy Group (1/1)
(W) Braley, Bruce (D-IA-01)
(L)*Busby, Francine (D-CA-50)
MEDIA
-------DEMS------- -------GOPERS-------
Advocacy Inc. (1/0) Brown & Dutch (1/0)
(W) Sherman, Brad (D-CA-27) (W) Bilbray, Brian (R-CA-50)
Brendel & Assoc. (0/1) Dawson McCarthy Nelson (1/1)
(L) Vas, Joe (D-NJ-13) (L) Dix, Bill (R-IA-01)
(W) Lamberti, Jeff (R-IA-03)
Comprehensive Comm. (gen) (1/0)
(W) Sires, Albio (D-NJ-13) Weeks & Co. (0/1)
(L) Kennedy, Brian (R-IA-01)
Joe Slade White & Co. (0/1)
(L) Filson, Steve (D-CA-11)
Laguens Hamburger Kully Klose (0/1)
(L)*Busby, Francine (D-CA-50)
Murphy Putnam Shorr (2/0)
(W) Braley, Bruce (D-IA-01)
DCCC (IE-CA-50)
(W) Madrid, Patricia (D-NM-01)
Totten Communications (0/1)
(L) Dickinson, Rick (D-IA-01)
POLLSTERS
-------DEMS------- -------GOPERS-------
Anzalone Liszt (1/0) Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Assoc. (1/0)
(W) Sires, Albio (D-NJ-13) (W) Whalen, Mike (R-IA-01)
Feldman Group (1/0) Moore Information (3/0)
(W) Braley, Bruce (D-IA-01) (W) Issa, Darrell (R-CA-49)
(W) Lungren, Dan (R-CA-03)
Global Strategies (0/1) (W) Rehberg, Denny (R-MT-AL)
(L) Vas, Joe (D-NJ-13)
Public Opinion Strategies (0/1)
Global Strategy Group (3/0) (L) Dix, Bill (R-IA-01)
(W) Filner, Bob (D-CA-51)
(W) Sanchez, Linda (D-CA-39) Tarrance Group (2/1)
(W) Sanchez, Loretta (D-CA-47) (W) Bilbray, Brian (R-CA-50)
(L) Kennedy, Brian (R-IA-01)
Lake Research Partners (2/1) (W) Lamberti, Jeff (R-IA-03)
(L)*Busby, Francine (D-CA-50)
(W) Madrid, Patricia (D-NM-01)
(W) McNerney, Jerry (D-CA-11)
Lazarus Strategic Services (0/1)
(L) Dickinson, Rick (D-IA-01)
Westhill Partners (0/1)
(L) Filson, Steve (D-CA-11)
GENERAL
-------DEMS------- -------GOPERS-------
Link Strategies (1/0) Farwell, J. and Gaylord, J. (0/1)
(W) Braley, Bruce (D-IA-01) (L) Kennedy, Brian (R-IA-01)
Tucker, Lisa (0/1) Nelson, Terry (0/1)
(L) Filson, Steve (D-CA-11) (L) Dix, Bill (R-IA-01)
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 50 RUNOFF (OPEN/SAN DIEGO)
Bilbray's A Winner
|
Ex-Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) defeated women's studies professor Francine Busby (D) in the CA 50 special runoff. Results with 96% of precincts reporting (San Diego County elections board, 6/7).
CA 50 Runoff
votes %age
Bilbray 58,566 49
Busby 52,598 45
Griffith 4,379 4
King 1,822 2
The Runoff Skinny
Bilbray's win keeps the seat in GOP hands "as a massive infusion of party resources and money overcame voter dissatisfaction with congressional corruption scandals." Ex-Rep/GOP lobbyist Vin Weber said Bilbray's victory is "good news" for GOPers: "This is a sign Republicans will not be caught napping, as Democrats were in 1994." The race may "also be an indicator" of how the immigration debate will affect Congressional elections. Bilbray supports "limiting immigration and cracking down on illegal border crossings" in line with House legislation. Busby, meanwhile, backed the approach taken by the Senate that "would create a guest worker program" and a "path to citizenship" for undocumented workers.
The NRCC poured over $4M in the race, and President Bush made robocalls on Bilbray's behalf. The DCCC spent about $2M in support of Busby. Min Whip Steny Hoyer said that GOP resources expended in a "typically safe district" suggests Dem gains for the midterms. But Weber said Dems "also put a lot of resources into the race." Weber: "They no doubt were able to do it somewhat cheaper because interest in the Democratic gubernatorial primary spilled over into this district" (Keil/Selway, Bloomberg, 6/7).
Some Post-Game Analysis
Busby "barely exceeded the percentage" won by Kerry in '04, a "worrying sign" to Dem strategists looking toward the midterms. The Dem strategist said: "If we can't improve upon Kerry's numbers in these congressional districts in this climate, we've got a big problem. Getting to the Kerry number doesn't get you anywhere close to 218" (Balz/Weisman/Wilgoren, Washington Post, 6/7).
NRCC Chmn. Tom Reynolds wrote in a memo this a.m: "This victory was a team effort, from the White House to the volunteers on the ground in San Diego...National Democrats must come to terms with the fact that momentum for the midterm elections will not materialize simply because they preordain it in the media or because they ask their special interest friends to buy it for them." More Reynolds: "The results in San Diego show that nothing has happened to alter the notion that House elections are about a choice between local personalities focused on local issues" (release, 6/7).
A Dem spokesperson says that, "a strong change message can make even former members of Congress vulnerable in deeply red GOP districts." GOPers "enjoy a" 55K registration advantage in the CD, and Busby significantly outperformed party registration. Also Bilbray and the NRCC outspent Busby/DCCC by about a 2-to-1 margin "yet Busby was still able to cut into the reliable Republican base in the district" (Hotline sources, 6/7).
DCCC Comm. Dir. Bill Burton: "In a race that unexpectedly became one of the most competitive in congressional history, Francine Busby sent a shot across the GOP bow and proved that even in the most reliably Republican district, the message of change and a new direction for the country is resonating with voters. Despite the spin, CA-50 is a ruby red Republican district. Republicans have a 55,000-registered voter advantage over Democrats in the district. ... After spending more than five million dollars, using national Republican leaders like George Bush, John McCain and Laura Bush, and running 12,000 gross rating points of false and negative ads, Brian Bilbray and the NRCC were able to pull out less than 50 percent of the vote in a very solidly Republican district."
DCCC Chair Rahm Emanuel: "In an election cycle that is shaping up to be a change vs. the status quo contest, Francine Busby has shown that a strong change message can make even former members of Congress vulnerable in deeply red Republican districts" (release, 6/7).
Roll Call'sRothenberg on the results: "On the one hand there is clearly relief and a sense of hope for Republicans in November. On the other hand, they have got to be concerned about the Republican drop off and Democrats have got to figure they are still headed for a good year." Rothenberg, on Busby's ability to "pull only 45 percent of the vote after railing" against Bilbray for being a lobbyist: "Clearly, Busby didn't grow her vote" ("Morning Grind," CNN, 6/7).
CNN's King, on the Dems: "They believe they can take this culture of corruption theme elsewhere. But, let's be honest ... there aren't any other districts in the country where the former Republican congressman is in jail. Busby herself called this ground zero in the debate over the culture of corruption. Close calls and moral victories will not make Nancy Pelosi speaker next January" ("American Morning," 6/7).
Brinkley, asked what can be read by the CA-50 results: "It's a big victory for Republicans. ... The theory was the Democrats might be able to win that, but Bilbray pulled it off. It shows there might not be quite the backlash against Republicans that some analysts have been predicting" (FNC, 6/7).
CBS' Schieffer, on CA 50: "I think it's still a warning shot for Republicans. There's still turmoil out there. ... This has to be a sign for Republicans they might lose the House. I'm not saying just this particular race" ("Early Show," 6/7).
All About Immigration?
Bilbray, on CNN: "The president proposing amnesty was absolutely a big problem. And, in fact, it wasn't until I was able to highlight the fact that I did not agree with my friends in the Senate or my friend in the White House on amnesty that we really saw the polls start supporting me strongly" ("American Morning," 6/7).
Tulane historian Douglas Brinkley , on Bilbray's victory: "It's a sign that there's not as much support for McCain/Kennedy. ... It's a big victory really for the Republican Party for the feeling of toughening the standards of immigration. So for seats that will be up in Arizona and New Mexico, California, along the border later this year, I think they're going to have to pay careful attention to how that immigration issue played out in this district" ("Fox & Friends," FNC, 6/7).
CNN's King: "It is more and more likely, Republican strategists say, that there will be no deal at all unless the Senate and the president give up. They say any guest worker program that gives those illegal immigrants citizenship at the end of that guest worker program is a non-starter and that Brian Bilbray's victory is certainly to reinforce that with conservatives who are already in no mood to compromise" ("American Morning," 6/7).
Indies Going For Busby?
A Dem consultant points out that Busby received 9,369 more votes than total Dem primary votes cast. Meanwhile, Bilbray only won 1,081 votes more than total GOP votes. This suggests that independent/non-affiliated voters swung towards Busby (Hotline sources, 6/7).
Gingrich: A Not-So-Special Election?
Ex-Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) looks at CA 50: "In '94 there were two special elections" in which GOPers gained Dem seats. The first was in OK with Frank Lucas and the second was in KY with Ron Lewis. "The night of the first victory," then-NRCC Chairman Bill Paxon, senior NRCC adviser Joe Gaylord and Gingrich "sat at the NRCC headquarters and decided to go for broke in the much more difficult" KY seat. "We knew that if we could win two" Dem seats going into the fall election we would create an excitement which would arouse money and energy from our supporters and interest from the news media and make a fall victory more likely."
"It was a courageous decision" on Paxon's part, and "it worked. Those two victories were dramatic steps toward the Contract with America and a 53 seat sweep in the fall which gave us a GOP majority I the House for the first time in 40 years." If Dems had won CA 50 on 6/6, DCCC Chair Rahm Emanuel (D-IL) "would be on television this morning claiming a portent for the fall election and" House Min. Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) "would be on the phone to every major donor explaining what their victory meant and why it justified more resources for the fall campaign. They lost. This is now a fact. It is a big fact."
More Gingrich: There were "three dynamics which drove this outcome." The first was Bilbray's "consistent effort" to "talk about controlling spending, changing Washington and controlling the border and illegal immigration." Bilbray "did not run to 'stay the course' and help Washington. Bilbray ran to change Washington and to return to the spirit of '94 and the Contract with America." The second dynamic was a "steady drumbeat by talk radio and the NRCC and the Bilbray campaign to define" Busby "as a liberal who would raise taxes, increase welfare, and favor amnesty. The "third and most fascinating" dynamic "was an enormous mistake by [Busby] when she ... suggested that it was ok for an illegal alien to be active in the campaign. Unfortunately for her candidacy there was a Minuteman volunteer in the audience who got her on tape and gave it to San Diego talk radio hosts. The following day her willingness to pander to illegal aliens became the center piece of the campaign and she was on defense for the last five days of the campaign."
There are "three big lessons" from CA 50 for GOPers for 11/06. First, "independence and willingness to stand up for the folks back home overcame this week's Field Poll, which shows Bush at 28% approval. In the end 2006 is not a presidential election and it will not be a referendum on [Bush] if Republicans go home and do their job of representing the values and concerns of their people who elect them." Second, "fighting to control the border and defend the American people on illegal immigration-the house position-really works and amnesty (the Senate bill) was really repudiated by Republican voters." Third, however "dissatisfied" GOPers are with DC when they realize the Dem is a "Pelosi-Howard Dean liberal they turn against them. ... This can be the story again and again this fall." GOPers "are not perfect but liberal" Dems "are unacceptable as an alternative" (Hotline sources, 6/7).
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 04 (R/ROSEVILLE -- Doolittle)
The Doctor's In...
|
Rep. John Doolittle (R) defeated Auburn mayor Mike Holmes (R) in the GOP primary, and will face ex-Air Force officer Charlie Brown (D) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 04 GOP Primary CA 04 Dem Primary
votes %age votes %age
Doolittle 52,422 67 Brown 22,078 46
Holmes 25,858 33 Rea 15,739 33
Hamersley 9,709 20
Just Below The 70% Mark...
Doolittle said last week that this has been one of the "most challenging" campaigns since he took office in '91. "All three Democrats vying for a chance to topple Doolittle ran on platforms of honesty and integrity during their primary" (Singer, Freemont Union, 6/7). Doolittle spokesperson Richard Robinson: "We feel it's a decisive victory" But Brown "saw signs up an upset" in the results, with the Dem votes combined with Holmes' votes surpassing Doolittle's. Brown: "What we're going to do is highlight Mr. Doolittle's voting record" (Hill, Sacramento Bee, 6/7).
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 06 (D/MARIN COUNTY -- Woolsey)
Even In A Loss, You Still Gotta Love The Name Joe Nation
|
Rep. Lynn Woolsey (D) defeated state Assemb. Joe Nation (D), and will face business consultant Todd Hooper (R) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 06 Dem Primary CA 06 GOP Primary
votes %age votes %age
Woolsey 55,965 66 Hooper 15,999 57
Nation 28,880 34 Halliwell 11,855 43
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 11 (R/STOCKTON -- Pombo)
An Upset In The Dem Primary?
|
Rep. Richard Pombo (R) defeated ex-Rep. Pete McCloskey (R) in the GOP primary, and will face '04 nominee Jerry McNerney (D) in the general. McNerney defeated ex-Navy pilot Steve Filson (D) in the Dem primary. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 11 GOP Primary CA 11 Dem Primary
votes %age votes %age
Pombo 28,211 62 McNerney 18,353 52
McCloskey 14,283 32 Filson 10,276 29
Benigno 2,597 6 Thomas 6,766 19
It's All In The Numbers
Pombo spokesperson Carl Fogliani: "These numbers clearly show a trend. They show a strong congressman who is not going to have problems that others have tried to put on him." Experts said if Pombo "failed to win at least" 70% of the vote, "it could send a signal that he and GOP incumbents nationwide are vulnerable." Roll Call's Rothenberg: "I don't know exactly what number starts bells ringing and lights flashing, but anytime I see an incumbent held to 70 percent in the primary, I raise my eyebrows." In this conservative district, a liberal is a "bigger target" and McNerney may also "find it tough to secure enough GOP votes to win" 11/7. GOP pundit Jon Fleischman countered that "it won't matter" which Dem is on the ballot. Fleischman: "This is a nationalized election. It's going to be {Minority Leader Nancy) Pelosi versus Pombo" (Vorderbrueggen, Contra Costa Times, 6/7).
Pombo, who "never worried about the outcome," left his election party shortly after 9pm to fly back to DC. Fogliani: "You have to give the voters respect and run a campaign on ideas and accomplishments. The congressman has been out there working hard, and he's been hit with a lot of negative attacks. But the voters saw through that." McCloskey, meanwhile, "left the race unbowed." McCloskey: "We made the good fight. I'd make it again." Should McNerney prevail, "it will be a clear victory for his grass-roots operation, which he kept going after the '04 election (Shaw, Stockon Record, 6/7).
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 22 (R/BAKERSFIELD -- Thomas)
The Anointed One Wins
|
State Assemb. Min Ldr Kevin McCarthy (R) defeated accountant David Evans (R) and atty. Steve Nichols (R) in the GOP primary. He will face educator Sharon Beery (D) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 22 GOP Primary
votes %age
McCarthy 52,550 85
Nichols 5,039 8
Evans 3,915 6
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 24 (R/THOUSAND OAKS -- Gallegly)
No Sweat For Elton
|
Rep. Elton Gallegly (R) defeated atty. Michael Tenenbaum (R) in the GOP primary,and will face minister Jill Martinez (D) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 24 GOP Primary
votes %age
Gallegly 37,869 80
Tenenbaum 9,575 20
You Can't Always Get What You Want
Gallegly, "who says he hopes to serve one last term in Congress, took the first step toward going out in style" 6/6 after beating Tenenbaum. Tenenbaum was Gallegly's first primary opponent since '92 and spent over $150K on the campaign. Gallegly had originally announced in 3/06 that he had planned to retire, but retracted that statement just days later. Gallegly: "It's very gratifying. I said before the night started that I was going to regard the results as kind of a report card." "If that's case, voters gave Gallegly very high remarks." Gallegly: "I've made a commitment. It's going to be the most productive two years I've had." He also said, "Primaries are not fun...(but) it doesn't get any better than this" (Herdt, Ventura County Star, 6/7).
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 36 (D/TORRANCE -- Harman)
Not A Hard Win For Harman
|
Rep. Jane Harman (D) defeated anti-war activist Marcy Winograd (D) in the Dem primary, and will face physicist Brian Gibson (R) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 36 Dem Primary
votes %age
Harman 26,670 62
Winograd 16,024 38
|
|
|
CALIFORNIA 51 (D/IMPERIAL -- Filner)
Latinos For Filner
|
Rep. Bob Filner (D) defeated Assemb. Juan Vargas (D) in the Dem primary and will face teacher Blake Miles (R) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
CA 51 Dem Primary CA 51 GOP Primary
votes %age votes %age
Filner 16,337 52 Miles 9,712 62
Vargas 13,023 41 Galley 6,018 38
Ramirez 2,040 7
|
|
|
IOWA 01 (R/DAVENPORT -- Nussle)
The Lawyer Versus The Restaurateur
|
In the Dem primary, atty. Bruce Braley (D) defeated ex-Rep. Rick Dickinson (D) and '04 nominee Bill Gluba (D). He will face restaurateur Mike Whalen (R), who defeated state Rep. Bill Dix (R) and ex-state GOP chair Brian Kennedy (R). Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
IA 01 GOP Primary IA 01 Dem Primary
votes %age votes %age
Whalen 10,975 48 Braley 10,795 37
Dix 8,498 38 Dickinson 9,933 34
Kennedy 3,172 14 Gluba 7,492 26
Heath 1,154 4
A Whalen Of A Candidate?
At a "triumphant" victory party, Whalen noted he ran "against two more experienced politicians." Whalen: "I think people like the idea of sending a citizen legislator to Washington." Meanwhile, both Dix and Kennedy "promised to support Whalen." Dix: "I know I will do all I can to make sure this seat does not leave Republican hands." Kennedy said discontent with DC was a large factor in the GOP primary. Kennedy: "That's the type of environment that benefits the outsider, and Mike was the best outsider of the three of us"
Braley's Close Win, And Gluba's Discontent
In Braley's victory speech, he thanked Black Hawk Co., eastern IA and organized labor, as "several unions endorsed his candidacy." Braley: "We knew it would be a challenge to get to the number we needed to get to." But Gluba said "he was strongly considering an independent candidacy, saying" adding that nat'l Dems "torpedoed" his campaign (Tibbetts, Quad-City Times, 6/7).
|
|
|
IOWA 05 (R/SIOUX CITY -- King)
Queen Of The Race?
|
'04 nominee Joyce Schulte (D) defeated Robert Chambers (D) in the Dem primary, and will face Rep. Steve King (R) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
IA 05 Dem Primary
votes %age
Schulte 7,902 62
Chambers 4,745 38
First Pete ... Now Repeat
Schulte will face King for the second time in a general election: "I'm extremely pleased. If it holds like it is, we'll be at work tomorrow for the 5th District." King defeated Schulte in '04, carrying the heavily GOP district with 63% of the vote (Rossi/Norman, Des Moines Register, 6/7).
|
|
|
MISSISSIPPI 02 (D/JACKSON -- Thompson)
Bennie Jets Past Espy
|
Rep. Bennie Thompson (D) defeated state Rep. Chuck Espy (D) in the Dem primary, and will face Tchula mayor Yvonne Brown (R) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
MS 02 Dem Primary
votes %age
Thompson 56,174 65
Espy 30,151 35
Benford 643 1
Thompson In For the Long Haul
Thompson "easily survived" his primary challenge and is now preparing for the general election. Espy attributed his loss to a lack of money. Thompson is being challenged by Tchula Mayor Yvonne Brown (R) and said he does not expect much DCCC support. MS Dem chair Wayne Dowdy: "Mayor Brown will have huge financial resources, and the Democratic nominee and the Democratic party will absolutely have to view her as a serious contender." Espy, who "urged his supporters to back Thompson," said Thompson "raised more money and he never caught up." Espy supporter/Jackson businessman Artie Armstrong said "the lawmaker's biggest mistake was not refuting claims he was not a "real Democrat" (Goodman/Hipp, Jackson Clarion-Ledger, 6/7).
|
|
|
NEW JERSEY 05 (R/PARAMUS -- Garrett)
Garrett Wins Big In Primary
|
Rep. Scott Garrett (R) defeated Michael Cino (R) in the GOP primary. He will face ex-McGreevey spokesperson Paul Aronsohn (D), who defeated Camille Abate (D) in the Dem primary. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
NJ 05 GOP Primary NJ 05 Dem Primary
votes %age votes %age
Garrett 23,729 86 Aronsohn 6,848 66
Cino 3,743 14 Abate 3,486 34
|
|
|
NEW JERSEY 13 (OPEN/JERSEY CITY)
Yes, Sires
|
Ex-Assemb. Speaker Albio Sires (D) defeated Assemb. Joe Vas (D) in the Dem primary. He will face activist John Guarini (R) in the general. Results with 100% of precincts reporting (AP, 6/7).
NJ 13 Dem Primary
votes %age
Sires 23,337 74
Vas 8,410 26
Equal Representation
Sires said he believes he won "because of my experience and the work I have done." Sires didn't mention Vas "by name in his speech," but said he'd "represent everyone in the district," and "we will all get together and work toward electing Bob Menendez in November." Sires didn't say "whether he had received a call from Vas conceding the election." Vas "put the most positive spin he could on the crushing defeat," saying northern Hudson Co. voters "were the deciding factor in his loss." Vas: "We took Middlesex and were fighting vote to vote in Union, Essex and southern Hudson. Regrettably, this election goes to northern Hudson Country." Vas added that the election was "a victory for democracy" (Epstein, Newark Star-Ledger, 6/7).
|
|
|
|
|
|
ILLINOIS 17 (D/ROCK ISLAND -- Evans)
A Hare-y Situation
|
Congressional aide Phil Hare (D) "comfortably" won the Dem nomination to replace Rep. Lane Evans (D) on 6/6. Hare will face '04 nominee/ex-TV news anchor Andrea Zinga (R) in the general election.
"Propelled by strong support" among precinct cmtemen in Rock Island and Macoupin Cos. Hare won with 17,011 votes, (63.9%) of the 26,621 weighted votes cast by precinct cmtemen. State Sen. John Sullivan (D) received 7,530 votes, Rock Island Mayor Mark Schwiebert (D) received 1,370 votes, state Rep. Mike Boland (D) received 612 votes, and teacher Rob Mellon (D) received 98 votes.
Hare, appearing at the announcement of the vote totals: "I want to thank the committeemen who voted for me and those who didn't. If I'm half as good as Lane, I'll be a heck of a congressman." More Hare: "We have to go out and talk about issues. This won't be a victory for me, it will be a victory for the Democratic Party."
Of the 423 elected precinct cmtemen in the district who received ballots, Hare said that he talked to about 350 of them. Hare: "I am not a two-county candidate. Instead of talking about electability, I talked about issues." More: "We have an angry electorate, and they want to know what we are going to do to help" (Allemeier, Quad-Cities Dispatch Argus, 6/7).
Hare: "The truth is, I've had a great time talking to people, no matter what happens. That's the cool part" (Ickes, Quad-City Times, 6/7).
Sullivan praised Hare's campaign effort. Sullivan: "It is an impressive win. He ran a great campaign. He had support through the district, which is a great thing."
Hare acknowledged that Evan's endorsement "helped" his campaign effort. Hare: "Committeemen said, 'If Lane thinks you're qualified to do this, then I do too'" (Quad-Cities Dispatch Argus, 6/7).
He Said, She Said
"Within minutes" of his victory, Hare was calling for a debate with Zinga. Hare is looking forward to a face-to-face debate with Zinga, saying that "the most important discussion the two can have" would focus on jobs, Social Security, fair trade, prescription drugs, and health care.
Zinga manager Charlie Johnston "welcomed" the opportunity for a debate. Johnston: "As soon as he calls me, we'll get it together. If I don't hear from them in a couple weeks, we'll contact his camp." More Johnston: "We're looking forward to several debates with him" (Quad-City Times, 6/7).
|
|
|
|
|
|
GEORGIA 04 (D/ATLANTA -- McKinney)
Plea's The Magic Word?
|
Feds "have been talking privately" with Rep. Cynthia McKinney's (D-GA) office "in hopes of resolving" the Capitol Police case without an indictment and trial. Sources said prosecutors have for weeks made "what they characterized as an effort to reach a plea agreement." But McKinney's office "rejected claims that there have been discussions of a plea agreement," saying "there's no plea to negotiate." McKinney atty William Moffitt: "At this time, I have no comment as I am unaware of any 'legal case'" (Kemper, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 6/7).
|
|
|
ILLINOIS 08 (D/SCHAUMBURG -- Bean)
Fundraise The Roof!
|
The campaign fundraising season is in "full bloom" for the GOP effort trying to reclaim the seat held by Rep. Melissa Bean (D) -- a seat that GOPers and Dems consider to be "a potential tipping point" for control of Congress.
Ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) will be in Chicago today to kick off a series of "big-name fundraising events" for investment banker David McSweeney (R), who largely self-funded his GOP primary victory. Later in 6/06, VP Cheney and House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL) will also headline fundraisers for McSweeney, who is "seeking to replenish his campaign bank account" after spending $2.8M to win the six-way primary.
McSweeney: "This is a critical period for raising money and solidifying my support." McSweeney hopes to raise at least $400K by the end of 6/06.
Meanwhile, Bean has been able to bank nearly $2M in campaign funds, and in the 1stQ, raised more than $536K. Ex-Commerce Sec. William Daley spoke at a recent Bean fundraiser, and she held another fundraiser in DC in 5/06. Bean manager Brian Hermann: "Right now, the fundraising is going really well. It got better after the primary. We have a steady, strong pace and we want to continue that pace" (Kuczka, Chicago Tribune, 6/7).
|
|
|
LOUISIANA 03 (D/HOUMA -- Melancon)
Changing Demographics, Will It Affect Race?
|
Katrina "drained" the 7 parishes around New Orleans of almost 40% of its residents, leaving the metro area "whiter, wealthier and older," according to the Census Bureau's first estimates since the hurricane. The region has gone from 59% white before the storm to 73% now. The black population has dipped from 37% to 22%. The city of New Orleans lost about 64% of its residents, going from 437K to 158K as of 1/06. But city demographer Greg Rigamer says NOLA's population has gotten back to 200K since the survey (Konigsmark, USA TODAY, 6/7).
|
|
|
PENNSYLVANIA 08 (R/BUCKS COUNTY -- Fitzpatrick)
Where's Wilson?
|
Ex-Amb. Joseph Wilson "visited the Philadelphia-area roots of his wife, outed CIA agent Valerie Plame Wilson" to participate in "a private fund-raiser" for Iraq War vet Patrick Murphy (D). Wilson "said Murphy contacted him to help in his bid to defeat" Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick (R). Murphy said he was proud to have "someone of his caliber" working for him. Murphy: "He's a man of integrity".
Wilson will be back in PA later this month for a fund-raiser for PA-06 nominee Lois Murphy (D). Wilson "said he was lending his name recognition" to Dem candidates "because he feels democracy is threatened by the one-party government" in DC (Reddington, Philadelphia Inquirer, 6/7).
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONNECTICUT 04 (R/STAMFORD -- Shays)
Good News For Farrell?
|
Hedge fund founder Phil Maymin is trying to petition his way onto the ballot as a Libertarian to run against Rep. Chris Shays (R) and ex-Selectwoman Dianne Farrell (D). Maymin needs 2,909 registered voters' signatures before 8/9. Maymin is paying petitioners $20/hour to help collect signatures. Stamford Libertarian Town Cmte. pres. Courtenay Hough: "We're hoping to grow the Libertarian Party in the 4th District. There's a lot of closet Libertarians" (Nguyen, Greenwich Times, 6/7).
|
|
|
FLORIDA 08 (R/ORLANDO -- Keller)
An Iraq Attack
|
Rep. Ric Keller (R) recently returned from a 8-day trip to Iraq and Afghanistan. But atty. Alan Grayson (D) says it's a political stunt. Grayson: "It's sad that he views that devastated, war-torn country as a photo opportunity." Keller: "Those comments are pathetic. It shows that my opponents are clueless and pathetic." He defended his tour as part of a 6-member cong. delegation sent on a fact-finding and gratuity mission to the countries. Keller is a member of the House subcmte on terrorism and homeland security (Mckay, Orlando Sentinel, 6/7).
|
|
|
INDIANA 08 (R/EVANSVILLE -- Hostettler)
Plane Rides Become Election Issue
|
Rep. John Hostettler (R) defended the corporate jet trip Majority ldr. John Boehner (R) took to Hostettler's CD on 5/23, paid for by Vectren Corp. Hostettler said the schedules of Cong. leadership is such "that they need to be in several different venues, severeal different districts at one time" and commercial transportation doesn't "lend itself very well" to their schedules. Hostettler said his campaign would be reimbursing Vectren for Boehner's ticket.
Sherrif Brad Ellsworth (D) said he thinks a reform proposal to charge charter rates for corporate flights should have been implemented. But it would be better if rides on corporate planes were ended to "build some more public trust." Minority whip Steny Hoyer (D) flew commercially to stump for Ellsworth in fall '05 (Lee, Evansville Courier & Press, 6/7).
|
|
|
LOUISIANA 02 (D/NEW ORLEANS -- Jefferson)
His Chance To Honorably Explain
|
Rep. William Jefferson (D-LA) said 6/6 there is "an honorable explanation" for everything but he "declined to discuss specifics." Jefferson's comments came as members of the House Dem Steering Cmte were meeting to discuss whether to remove him from his Ways and Means Cmte post. While, "no decision was reached," Rep. Eddie Bernice (D-TX) "said one idea under discussion was to have Jefferson come before" the Dem conference to discuss the accusations against him.
For her part, House Dem Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said 6/6 pm, "she had no plans to bring the matter before" the Dem caucus at today's meeting, "but that any member is free to raise any issue." Jefferson "said removing him from Ways and Means would only hurt his New Orleans district." Jefferson: "No one has ever penalized people in someone's district to pursue a political agenda. The strategy she (Pelosi) is taking is stronger than the Republicans" (Walsh, New Orleans Times-Picayune, 6/7).
Roll Call's Kornacki reports that Jefferson was "issued an invitation" to appear before the Steering and Policy Cmte today at 5 p.m. If he accepts, Jefferson "will have a chance to argue the case" for keeping his cmte seat (6/7).
Meanwhile, the WH "continued to defend" the FBI raid. AG Al Gonzales: "I understand this was an unusual step that was taken, but it was an unusual step taken in response to an unusual set of circumstances" (New Orleans Times-Picyune, 6/7).
Life Imitating Art
According to new documents on the bribery probe, Jefferson told an FBI informant that he delivered "African art" - a code word for cash - to the wife of Nigerian VP Atiku Abubakar. Jefferson said Nigerian VP Atiku Abubakar sought as much as $500K to help "facilitate a deal" with a U.S. tech company.
The affidavit "contained extensive new details" which alleged that Jefferson "would have had a large but hidden financial stake" in the technology venture in Nigeria. In one of his conversations with the FBI informant, Jefferson said Atiku had "more deals going than the goddamn man in the moon." Affidavit: "Jefferson then said, 'He's a very, well, the word might be...corrupt.' "
An atty for the Abubakar said the VP has "done nothing wrong," and his been cooperating with the DOJ and FBI (Meyer, Los Angeles Times, 6/7).
|
|
|
|
|
|
BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE
Taxpayer-Funded Technology Helps Incumbents Get Re-Elected, News At 11
|
One of the "lesser-known perks of power" for incumbents is the use of "taxpayer-funded databases to cultivate constituents" by tailoring messages to their particular interests. Such "micro-targeting" is "obscure" and "virtually unheralded beyond the people who use them." While members used to send newsletters or mail that voters often "tossed...in the trash," technology has allowed them to "engage directly with voters" in what is, "in essence," an updated and "far more powerful" version of "franking." While there are restrictions about the content of such communiques, "there is a fine line between politics and constituent service, legislators acknowledge" (VandeHei/Babington, Washington Post, 6/7).
|
|
|
DEM LEADERSHIP
Giving Credit To Nancy
|
Min. Whip Steny Hoyer (D) issued "his strongest declaration yet" that he won't seek a rematch against Pelosi "even if" Dems "falter at the polls in 11/06. Hoyer: "If we lose, it will not be Nancy Pelosi's fault. She's done everything she possibly can. Win, lose, or draw, she's going to be our leader." He went on to call Pelosi "a wonderful Leader" and "the hardest worker he's seen in his 26 years in the House." He also made it clear he considers her immune to a leadership challenge, even if the midterm results don't meet 6/06 expectations. More Hoyer: "If we don't take back the House in our current state, we're all going to shoot ourselves in the head."
Hoyer's pronouncement "also suggests" that the 67-year-old, who failed in two previous leadership bids, could "well finish out his Congressional career without nabbing the Speakership" (Kornacki, Roll Call, 6/7).
Sign Of The Times
A handful of House Dems "are now pushing measures" to shore up Congress' legislative authority. Reps. Barney Frank (D-MA) and Sheila Jackson-Lee (D-TX) introduced separate bills that would "curb the process" of signing statements, which allows the president to "attach an official declaration to newly enacted laws." Under Frank's proposal, any time the president issues a signing statement setting aside a newly-enacted law, the WH would have to notify Congress within 10 days and "include an explanation for the decision" (Yachnin, Roll Call, 6/7).
|
Editorial: 202-266-7100 ·
Fax: 202-266-7104 ·
E-mail:
hotmail@nationaljournal.com
|
|
Chuck Todd, Editor-in-Chief
Josh Kraushaar, Editor
Danielle Decker Jones, Emily Goodin, Marc Ambinder and John Mercurio, Contributing Editors
Katherine Lehr, Quinn McCord, Nora McAlvanah, Mike Memoli, Jonathan Martin, Maura O'Brien, Shira Toeplitz, Reid Wilson and Conn Carroll, Contributing Writers
Andy Duberstein, Justin Miller, Kyle Trygstad and Rachelle Douillard-Proulx, Associate Writers
|
David G. Bradley, Chairman
John Fox Sullivan, Group Publisher and Chief Executive
John Galloway, President
Hank Boye, Managing Director
Tracy Engle, Director, Office of the Publisher
Chris Hamby, Senior Manager, Business Affairs
Kevin Turpin II Senior Business Affairs Associate
Erin Waters, Associate Director, Online Advertising
|
New Orders: 202-266-7260 ·
Cust. Service: 202-266-7230 ·
Advertising: (202) 266-7314
|
|
The Kids Are Alright
